And here we are again, this time in the last hour, the day of the awards. Much thought could not be published. I hope next year to prepare something more complete. The truth is that I agree that 2010 was a great year for cinema, and there was something for everyone. In Mexico we are in that stage where all the tapes of season awards at last we arrive, so it is sometimes difficult to keep pace with new releases.
Consequently, I regret to inform you that I could not see True Grit, which is a shame, as I begin to consider myself a fan of the Coens. However, I must also confess that the fact that it is a remake or an adaptation of something and also made me a little discouraged when deciding whether to see it or not.
But this post is to give my outlook for the major categories of Oscars 2011, a year in which the categories are more closed than in the past.
Best Soundtrack: Very good shortlist this year, with guarded prognosis, as the trend in this category has been rewarded all that sounds very exotic (suffice it to remember Santaolalla and his unexplained two estatullas), or else go through the most popular (and laughable example awards Howard Shore for The Lord Of The Rings or Up of Giacchino, whom I adore and that it deserved, but not Up , one of less successful work, and less over the great Sherlock Holmes Zimmer). John Powell took everyone by surprise with their great album How To Train Your Dragon , an exciting job and moving at the same time, with Celtic sounds as leitmotiv. Hans Zimmer also meets Inception, but nothing compared to the loftiness of Sherlock Holmes, and although it has interesting elements, it does greatly resemble what has been done with Nolan's Batman. AR Rahman shows his versatility, and after the Academy Award for Slumdog Millionaire, change it to something more bombastic and full of feeling content in 127 Hours. Alexandre Desplat returns with his fourth-consecutive third-in The King's Speech another sublime and precious work of this French which won the BAFTA for this work, and also won the César for The Ghost Writer, while the masses approached Harry Potter & The Deathly Hallows Part 1 . Should certainly be the statue, but as Trent Reznor is one popular and left the traditional, to win by The Social Network, but personally I think is the least prominent of the nominees.
Best Adapted Screenplay or Sequel: The Social Network , Aaron Sorkin
Best Original Screenplay: The King's Speech, David Seidler
Best
Actress: One of the most closed categories with three strong candidates: Amy Adams and Melissa Leo, both by The Fighter , and Helena Bonham-Carter The King's Speech. In this case, although again hit Adams in the film Russell, Bonham-Carter is most famous (believe me, that's something to account for the Oscars), and in this case, the popularity of his film also helps, and will win the Oscar, so Adams will have to wait a little longer, but surely one day be yours.
Best Supporting Actor: After the inexplicable, outrageous and stupid absence of Andrew Garfield as the co-founder of Facebook, the battle is two: Geoffrey Rush and Christian Bale. The winner will be Bale because not only plays a drug addict, but once again underwent a stunning physical transformation. Rush has already won, and Best Actor, and even glows in the role of speech therapist in The King's Speech, can not repeat. Note that this category is very bizarre, as the inclusion of Jeremy Renner by The Town is a bit exaggerated, while John Hawkes and Mark Ruffalo no star power, and being in independent films completely kills possibilities.
Best Actress Oscar The more predictable the night is for Natalie Portman, who gives everything in The Black Swan, fascinating and trauma to their counterparts around the world. If something amazing and extraordinary happens, it will be for Michelle Williams. Not so.
Best Actor: This category also seems determined. Colin Firth gave us the year's performance as a man with many challenges to fulfill their role as the most powerful man on the planet, and thus win the Oscar. But most noteworthy is James Franco, who once again demonstrated its reach in 127 Hours, whole acting tour de force which I shall speak, and that in any year will hiubiera man won the coveted gold.
Best Director: another injustice in this category, because the Academy is none to Chris Nolan, when he has been one of the most consistent and successful directors of both critical and box office with Inception fascinated the world, gave all in favor history, he avoids the computer effects, since almost all in situ, and yet seem to appreciate more what makes people like Cameron or Peter Jackson, slaves of green screen and complacency. As in the main category, and as sure we will see throughout the night, it played supremacy The Social Network and The King's Speech . Fincher or Hooper. Close battle in which 3 months ago would have bet on Fincher, but gained strength The King's Speech on his recent release and more popular, it makes me wonder. Either would be a worthy winner, although Fincher may be someone better known, the classical and more accessible Hooper tape could be the deciding factor. On the other hand, we have the historical data of the first nomination for Darren Aronofsky, who's had a long time. BEST FILM
: Despite the stupid idea to increase more than 10 nominees, lowering the prestige of a little over rated this year do not feel nominated as unjust, perhaps with the exception of The Kids Are Alright clichesca and dysfunctional family theme. We begin to see a trend that was seen coming, is that each year almost certainly will see Pixar represented (although Cars 2 I doubt it), this 2011 we have Toy Story 3.
With this format, the historic nomination for Best Film The Beauty And The Beast (1991) as the only animated achieved such a feat had lost its value by nominating a tape so poor, but popular, as Up (2009). So a good way to surprise, and raise the much loved and wanted rating, have been having for the first time two animated feature films in this category for some How To Train Your Dragon 's latest adventure than Woody and Buzz, and that a nomination would not have been misplaced. The other trend that we see each year will see the classic gem independent than ever necessary, only as a recognition of this industry, in 2011 we have Winter's Bone, winner of Sundance, whose premise sounds to me like another great independent Frozen River (2008). 127 Hours is wonderful and I think that would be included in the format of five nominees, that of the Coen seems to me to fill, while Inception and Black Swan are for the rating, given its overwhelming popularity, although it is a good recognition for Aronofsky and Nolan, taking into account what I mentioned of the latter and its relationship with the Academy. So, as we will see throughout the evening, prizes will be divided between T I Social Network and The King's Speech . As I said, long ago bet all the history of the creation of Facebook, but I'm not so sure. The Academy is in the dilemma of creating something fresh and modern as Fincher tape, or something more classic, safe and within your comfort zone. Historically, most have never been so risky in this category, and something tells me that tonight will not either, so I think the tendency of critics awards and the praise initial The Social Network lose strength and The King's Speech win the prize More importantly, even if he wins Fincher and his band, would not be unfair. On this occasion, the Academy has everything to gain.
recap, here are my predictions of the most important categories: Best Soundtrack
: Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross - The Social Network
Best Adapted Screenplay or Sequel: Aaron Sorkin - The Social Network
Best Original Screenplay : David Seidler - The King's Speech
Best Supporting Actress: Helena Bonham-Carter - The King's Speech
Best Supporting Actor: Christian Bale - The Fighter
Best Director: Tom Hooper - The King's Speech
Best Film: The King's Speech
What do you predict? For now, enjoy tonight and tomorrow see how it went!
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